There are various methods that bettors utilize in thoroughbred handicapping. One popular method is comparing the speed of each horse. Another simple system involves focusing on pace statistics. The fact is that both are useful when it comes to handicapping thoroughbred races.
As an example, using the speed method of handicapping thoroughbreds, you’d compare the time it took each horse entered in the race to run its last race. Let’s say there are 12 thoroughbreds that you’re handicapping in a six-furlong race and Horse 3 ran the fastest time at 1:12 but in reading the racing form you see that the horse came in second while Horse 5 closed the gap quickly in their last race to win with a speed of 1:14.
If you’re using the pure speed method in thoroughbred handicapping, then you’re simply going to wager on the horse with that best speed. In our example, that would be Horse 3. However, if you were taking other factors into consideration, such as the ability to close, then you’d certainly have to take a long look at Horse 5. That is especially true because that horse’s time is very close to that of Horse 3. What makes Horse 5 very appealing is the fact that it closed the gap and won.
What do you do? Stick with whatever method you’ve decided to use. If you’re going with speed when handicapping a thoroughbred race, then bet on Horse 3. That pony looks to be the fastest.
With the pace system, you’re involved in a more detailed analysis that looks at how each horse did at various moments in their last race. Using this method, you’ll break the race down into quarter-mile lengths.
Under the pace method, you see that Horse 3 ran a great initial quarter-mile, outpacing Horse 5 by two seconds and in the second quarter-mile the horse was a full three seconds faster. However, Horse 3 faded in the final quarter-mile, and Horse 5 beat its time by three seconds. Using this method, you’re going to go with Horse 5 because it certainly looks to be a strong finisher even though the thoroughbred’s total time is two seconds longer than Horse 3.
What Method Works?
In thoroughbred handicapping, it’s important to keep your options open and use as much data as possible prior to placing a wager. In betting, you can actually employ both the speed and pace methodologies, comparing and contrasting your options under each system. In thoroughbred handicapping solid data in various forms can take away the guesswork possibly ensuring your success more times than not.