Consider This Process When Handicapping the Breeders’ Cup
The Breeders’ Cup, which is the North American thoroughbred championship racing series, marks the end of the horseracing season. Held over two days in October, there are 14 races in this series, which certainly makes Breeders’ Cup handicapping difficult. Additionally, further complicating the matter is the fact that the horseflesh in the Cup is of the superior quality. Here are a few Breeders’ Cup handicapping tips that will help you make a smart pick when it comes to this prestigious race.
Pace or Speed?
Analyzing a horse’s pace involves breaking down how it performed in each quarter mile, while speed is concerned with how much time it took the horse to run an entire race. Which should you consider when handicapping the Breeders’ Cup? Go with pace.
The fact is that Breeders’ Cup handicapping is complicated business and gamblers need detailed analysis. The pace data will tell you a lot about how a horse comes out of the gate, around the first turn, across the back, around the second turn, down the stretch and at the finish line. This will help you project how each horse may run in the Breeders’ Cup.
Down the Stretch
Which horses have done well down the stretch and which have simply faded around the second turn? Are there any photo finish experts that can close the gap quickly? This attribute can be the difference between win, place or show.
Which Horses Have Run Well at the Track?
This event is held at a different racetrack each year. In Breeders’ Cup handicapping look for horses in each race that have done well at that particular track and focus on them. They are automatically a better bet than the others.
Long shot or Favorite?
If you’re an expert handicapper, then go for a long shot or two. But if you’re relatively new to this event, then look to the favorites. Picking horses is tough enough but figuring out a long shot is especially difficult. One thing you can look for when handicapping the Breeders’ Cup is any horse that has been able to upset the field one or two times. If they have done it before, then chances are that they may do it again.
Check out the post parade. How is each horse doing? Are any exceptionally skittish, uncontrollable or lethargic? What jockeys look like they’re in control? Is anyone exuding huge amounts of confidence?
Jockeys and Trainers
You’re not just betting on a horse, you’re also wagering on the jockey and trainer. So check them out ahead of time, looking for consistent winners. The fact is that some jockeys and trainers just like some racecar drivers and football coaches are winners.
Place Your Bets
In placing your bets, the first thing to consider is the horse. Analyze each horse as a racing entity whose overall performance is determined by a variety of variables—pace breakdowns, stretch chops, home turf advantage, their tendency to perform beyond expectations, post parade behavior and the men or women in charge of riding and training them. When all is said and done, handicapping the Breeders’ Cup can be fun, exciting and lucrative.