Week 3 KEY NFL TRENDS - 'HOW SWEET IS HOME?'
Written by The Director
Thu, 20 Sep 2007
Category sportsbook
Feedback Rating - no votes
AT FIRST GLANCE...there are games that always look 'Tasty' ATS in many publication as a 'Bullet' trend only to 'trap' upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real 'ADVANTAGE' against the 'Trend'. Week 3, The Director is suggesting you to explore 'IS HOME REALLY 'SWEET'!':
9.18 I believe we had all hoped that 2007 would bring back the memories of 2005, not 2006. ‘Home is where the heart is, but what about a victory?’. With the historical trends pointing to the Underdogs in Week 2, we start with the New England Patriots and their video espionage. In a strange twist to the recent story, it is the Road team in their last four matchups with the BUFFALO BILLS, who is 4-0 ATS. With the Bills offense struggling in 2007, the Patriots, who powered out 407 yards in crushing the Chargers, arrive 6-0 SU in their last six matchups with the Bills; 'believe it or not' the average spread of 7 in their last 4 matchups, including 9+ in the two losses ATS in New England, have led New England to their undoing at Home.
For one team Home will be welcome. With Eli Manning and the NY Giants offense sputtering as they now rely on Ward's legs, the WASHINGTON REDSKINS, who have gone 2-1 ATS since Joe Gibbs arrived, will welcome the sight of Eli Manning and the Home crowd. For in this matchup, the Home team has gone 5-1 ATS over the last three years. Although the Giants have outscored the Skins by an average of 16 in the Big Apple, DC has been another story where the Giants have been outscored by as many as 24; the first time that the early season battle has taken place in Washington.
9.18 Even in the grandest days of Michael Vick, at the hand of Delhomme, 112.2 rating, and Weinke, John Fox has owned the ATLANTA FALCONS in their backyard. With the Falcons offense only putting up an average of 5 points per game in 2007, fans should beware of a hungry Panthers team arriving 3-0 ATS in their last three matchups in Atlanta, and start screaming for Leftwich; the Panthers defense allowing an average of only 7 points per game in their last two battles on Atlanta’s home turf.
ADVANTAGE PANTHERS
9.18 ‘Beware of Dawgs’. After getting slapped upside the head by fans on Sunday, is it possible not to go out and buy a Cleveland Browns jersey after they racked up 554 yards and 51 points. If you haven’t, you may after this week. As even in the team’s darkest days, the Browns, 4-1 ATS record in its last five matchups with the AFC West, have powered out a 3-0 record ATS in the last three matchups with the OAKLAND RAIDERS; 3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS in Oakland during this run, Anderson, 101.3 rating, will be gunning for their first 2-1 start since 2003, when they had also started the year with an upset of the Cincinnati Bengals.
ADVANTAGE BROWNS
9.18 'Who would have thought the fans would be in store for an ol' Texas shoot out between Schaub, 111.4 rating, and Manning?' Facing off with the Indianaplis Colts at Home earlier than ever, the Indianapolis Colts, who have been favored by as many as 14.5 in the HOUSTON TEXANS ranch will be trying avoid being Schaub's third straight victory; the Texans 3-1 ATS over the last four years at Home versus the Colts.
ADVANTAGE TEXANS
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