Week 2 Key NFL Trends From NFLOne.com
Written by The Director
Thu, 11 Sep 2008
Category sportsbook
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AT FIRST GLANCE…there are games that always look ‘Tasty’ ATS in many publications as a ‘Bullet’ trend only to ‘trap’ upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real ‘ADVANTAGE’ against the ‘Trend’.
The Director draws even greater clarity by identifying the Key Trends as either‘First Look’ or ‘King Trends':
It is interesting that 2008 has already seen its first ‘flip flop’. If there was ever a trend that may be the next flip it is this week’s matchup with the BUCCANEERS and the Falcons. In 2005, the two teams split their matchups ATS. The falcons go 2-0 ATS in 2006, and the Bucs go 2-0 ATS in 2007. It looks like the pendulum is ready to swing back in 2008 after Reggie Bush’s crushing breakaway to defeat the Bucs in Week 1.
DON’T BE FOOLED BY THE MEDIA HYPE
While Favre looked sharp in their opener, if he has looked over the historical record, he will not like the looks of Cassell and the Patriots at Home. For this is another series where the visiting team has been the winner. Having gone 2-0 ATS in New England in this series, the Jets have gone a surprising 0-2 ATS in New York. Favored by an average of 6+ points in their losses, the Jets have come close while losing SU. Can Favre flip flop this one?
Having turned back the Raiders after going 0-4 ATS in their last four matchups, the Broncos will look to flip flop the trend versus the Chargers. While the Broncos shined on Monday Night Football, The Chargers arrive 4-0 ATS in the last four games against Denver. The real question is whether the Chargers can keep their streak alive with a number of critical injuries off a last minute loss to Carolina in Week 1?
FIRST LOOK
‘Believe it or not’ the Chiefs have not covered the spread versus the Raiders at Home since Dick Vermeil’s 2002 campaign. ‘That’s right’. Favored by over 5 points per game, the Chiefs have gone 0-5 ATS in their last five matchups with the Raiders here in Kansas City. Having faced the injury to Johnson during the 2007 season, the Chiefs may be stymied again with the injury to Croyle that leaves Huard at the helm.
ADVANTAGE RAIDERS
With the trend versus the Ravens going up in smoke, Marvin Lewis will have the numbers in his favor again as he enters against the Tennessee Titans, who have not beaten the Bengals since 2004. After an impressive week 1 effort, the Titans’ Young may have his mommy play in his place. 2-0 ATS in their last two games versus the Titans, the Bengals won by a 29 point margin here last year. The Titans arrive 0-9 ATS since 2005 when the line is 3 or less points versus a Non-Divisional Opponent.
ADVANTAGE BENGALS
KING TRENDS
If there is one thing McCarthy owns since his arrival in Green Bay, it has been the Detroit Lions. 4-0 ATS in his four matchups, not only have the Pack gone 4-0 SU in those games, but have outscored the Lions by an average of 10 points per game. So goes Monday Night, so goes the following week. During his reign, McCarthy arrives 1-0 ATS after victories, and 0-2 ATS after losses. The Lions arrive 0-6 ATS since 2003 the week after a game where they have had 3 times as many passing yards as rushing yards.
ADVANTAGE PACKERS
After embarrassing the Texans in Week 1, the Steelers arrive in Cleveland where they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 matchups here. While there was hope for a flip flop in 2007, Tomlin’s 27 points margin of victory sealed the continuation of the Browns’ misery in this series.
ADVANTAGE STEELERS
-The Director @ NFLOne.com
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